MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
02426nam a22003137a 4500 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER |
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| control field |
IIITD |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
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| control field |
20260212180201.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
260204b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
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| International Standard Book Number |
9781399604055 |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
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| Original cataloging agency |
IIITD |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
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| Classification number |
519.542 |
| Item number |
CHI-E |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Chivers, Tom |
| 245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
Everything is predictable : |
| Remainder of title |
how Bayes' remarkable theorem explains the world |
| Statement of responsibility, etc |
by Tom Chivers |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
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| Place of publication, distribution, etc |
Weidenfeld & Nicolson, |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc |
London : |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc |
©2024 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
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| Extent |
xxvii, 303 p. : |
| Other physical details |
ill. ; |
| Dimensions |
21 cm. |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE |
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| Bibliography, etc |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 273-291) and index. |
| 505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Title |
Introduction: A theory of not quite everything |
| 505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Title |
Chapter One: From "The Book of Common Prayer" to the Full Monty Carlo |
| 505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Title |
Chapter Two: Bayes in science |
| 505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Title |
Chapter Three: Bayesian decision theory |
| 505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Title |
Chapter Four: Bayes in the world |
| 505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Title |
Chapter Five: The Bayesian brain |
| 505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Title |
Conclusion: Bayesian life |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc |
Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear. Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain. Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences. |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Bayesian statistical decision theory |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Bayesian statistical decision theory -- Popular works |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Statistical decision |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
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| Koha item type |
Books |
| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Dewey Decimal Classification |
