The black swan :
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb - London : Penguin, ©2010 - xxxiii, 444 p. : ill. ; 20 cm.
The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd
We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict?
Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony
The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan
Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
9780141034591
Uncertainty (Information theory)--Social aspects
Forecasting
Uncertainty (Information theory)
158.1 / TAL-B
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb - London : Penguin, ©2010 - xxxiii, 444 p. : ill. ; 20 cm.
The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd
We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict?
Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony
The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan
Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
9780141034591
Uncertainty (Information theory)--Social aspects
Forecasting
Uncertainty (Information theory)
158.1 / TAL-B